This week the Universities and Colleges Admissions Service is due to release the number of applications received by October 15. This is the deadline for those wishing to study at Oxford and Cambridge or for any medicine, dentistry and veterinary degree.
Many other candidates also put in forms well before the January 15 deadline. Although just over 10% of applications have been lodged by now, it is seen as a key indicator of the final demand for places.
The last time applications fell was before the rise in tuition fees in 2006. However, applications picked up in subsequent years.
It is expected the biggest falls this time will be among mature students. The government is expected to seize on a smaller fall in numbers of teenage applicants as evidence that its information campaign in schools is working.
However, the decline will be inflated by a 1.5% fall in the number of 18-year-olds next year.
Those with the greatest declines so far include several institutions in London — applications at City have plunged 41.4%; at Goldsmiths they are down 35% and at Brunel 24% fewer people have applied. Queen Mary has bucked the trend in the capital, as has the London School of Economics, where applications have gone up by 6.6%.
Other big fallers include Manchester, with a decline of 16%, while Exeter and Surrey have both seen falls of more than 7%.
Applications to some universities have risen. At Warwick, they are about 10% higher than at the same point last year, while at Bath there has been an 8% rise.
Many other candidates also put in forms well before the January 15 deadline. Although just over 10% of applications have been lodged by now, it is seen as a key indicator of the final demand for places.
The last time applications fell was before the rise in tuition fees in 2006. However, applications picked up in subsequent years.
It is expected the biggest falls this time will be among mature students. The government is expected to seize on a smaller fall in numbers of teenage applicants as evidence that its information campaign in schools is working.
However, the decline will be inflated by a 1.5% fall in the number of 18-year-olds next year.
Those with the greatest declines so far include several institutions in London — applications at City have plunged 41.4%; at Goldsmiths they are down 35% and at Brunel 24% fewer people have applied. Queen Mary has bucked the trend in the capital, as has the London School of Economics, where applications have gone up by 6.6%.
Other big fallers include Manchester, with a decline of 16%, while Exeter and Surrey have both seen falls of more than 7%.
Applications to some universities have risen. At Warwick, they are about 10% higher than at the same point last year, while at Bath there has been an 8% rise.
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